Equity Research for Growth & Tech Stocks.
Single-stock deep dives built from earnings decks and filings, and the price at which each becomes worth owning.
Reads
The operational direction is clear. The valuation is not.
Tesla posted its strongest revenue quarter in history and one of its weakest operating margins in years, both in the same quarter. Revenue climbed 26% to $28.24 billion on record Q2 deliveries. Operating income, however, collapsed 57% to $398 million.
The demand for AMD's next chip is proven ahead of the ramp. The margin it earns is not.
AMD posted a record quarter across revenue, operating income, and cash reserves. Revenue rose 50%, data center revenue more than doubled, and operating margin went from negative 2% a year ago to 17%. Yet the records are not the story. The margin is.
Why I built AlphaForge
I started AlphaForge out of frustration. As an investor, I'd read ten analyst notes on the same company and the same quarter, and the price targets would be hundreds of percent apart. The disagreement itself I could live with. What bothered me was that I usually couldn't tell where any of those numbers came from, because hardly anyone showed how they got there.
So I started writing the research I wanted to read myself. I take one company at a time and work from the company's own documents, mainly its quarterly earnings decks. Every Read lists the documents it draws on, and where a figure is my own calculation rather than one the company reported, I explain how I got it.
I also take a side. Each Read gives my view on the business and a price I'd actually buy at. I don't calculate a fair value down to the cent. The buy level is simply where I'd be comfortable putting my own money in.
If that's the kind of analysis you've been looking for, the Reads are above.
Daan
What's coming
I'm working through the growth-tech and AI universe one company at a time. The companies below are on the roadmap.
Tesla and AMD are live, Google is next. Each Read publishes when the analysis is done, not on a schedule.
Get an email whenever a new Read goes live, an existing one materially updates, or a new video lands. No spam, no fixed schedule.
- ✓A new Read when it publishes
- ✓A note when an existing Read materially updates
- ✓The occasional video worth your time